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For China and Russia, U.S. Unorthodoxy Is No Substitute For Trust

For China and Russia, U.S. Unorthodoxy Is No Substitute For Trust

The new U.S. administration’s unorthodox diplomacy will run up against the U.S.’ own national security establishment, as well as those of China and Russia.

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Japan Outpaces U.S. in Race to Enlist Russia to Balance China

Japan Outpaces U.S. in Race to Enlist Russia to Balance China

U.S.-Russian hostilities have decreased U.S. strategic options with respect to China, enabling Shinzo Abe’s own Russian diplomacy to be more fruitful.

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From Russia With (No) Love: A Hard Heart Works Best For Russia

From Russia With (No) Love: A Hard Heart Works Best For Russia

U.S. relations with Russia can only improve through a more transactional, pragmatic approach based on shared interests, not values.

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Rift with Philippines Highlights Economics as Key to U.S.-China Rivalry

Rift with Philippines Highlights Economics as Key to U.S.-China Rivalry

The rise of multi-vector foreign policies and competing economic integration visions throughout Asia will force the U.S to up its own economic game.

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Increased Great Power Competition Changes Strategy of “Swing” Powers

Increased Great Power Competition Changes Strategy of “Swing” Powers

U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China hostilities have led to foreign policy strategy recalibrations for the Philippines, Japan, and Turkey.

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The U.S. Can Learn From Japan’s Efforts To Improve Russian Relations

The U.S. Can Learn From Japan’s Efforts To Improve Russian Relations

Russo-Japanese patience and recognition of shared mutual security interests can serve as a model for current U.S.-Russian hostilities.

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The Snowball Effect of Continued U.S.-Russia Strategic Mistrust

The Snowball Effect of Continued U.S.-Russia Strategic Mistrust

The unthinkable has happened as rising U.S.-Russia tensions in Syria have started to undermine global security through a key nuclear deal cancellation.

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“Preserving” Primacy is Both Delusional and Self-destructive

“Preserving” Primacy is Both Delusional and Self-destructive

Global economic interdependency and states’ pursuit of self-interest in today’s multi-polar world combine to undermine U.S. efforts at primacy.

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The Philippines’ Improved Russian and Chinese Ties Increase Leverage with U.S.

The Philippines’ Improved Russian and Chinese Ties Increase Leverage with U.S.

By seeking to improve ties with both China and Russia, the Philippines aims to enhance its bargaining position with the U.S.

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Reckless Pursuit of Hegemony Inevitably Leads to Downfall

Reckless Pursuit of Hegemony Inevitably Leads to Downfall

Japan’s Sengoku Jidai period demonstrates the necessity of restraint in U.S. foreign policy.

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Russian South China Sea Drills Complicate Japanese Security

Russian South China Sea Drills Complicate Japanese Security

Japan’s desire to become a more “normal” power through South China Sea proclamations has just become more complicated thanks to Russia.

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Triumphalism in Wake of Court’s South China Sea Ruling is Futile

Triumphalism in Wake of Court’s South China Sea Ruling is Futile

The Permanent Court of Arbitration’s verdict will have little weight in Beijing’s strategic considerations in the South China Sea.

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U.S. Must Fix Its Economy to Effectively Counter China

U.S. Must Fix Its Economy to Effectively Counter China

To succeed in its global game against China, the U.S. must recognize the importance of economics in any nation’s foreign policy stance.

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Chinese Implacable Defiance in the South China Sea

Chinese Implacable Defiance in the South China Sea

Tensions between China and the U.S. in the South China Sea dominated the issues at the now-concluded Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore.

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Ambiguity Plagues the Shangri-La Dialogue

Ambiguity Plagues the Shangri-La Dialogue

The South China Sea played a prominent role at the Shangri-La Dialogue. However, ambiguity on several issues might prolong these very same tensions.

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About the Author

Robert Shines
Robert Shines

Robert Shines is an Expert | Geopolitical Intelligence with RANE, an information and advisory services company that connects business leaders to critical risk insights and expertise. With Bright Group Consulting, he provides confidential geopolitical forecasting services regarding various aspects of U.S.-China foreign policy. He is also a Senior Analyst and Editor with Global Risk Insights, a publication providing analysis on political risk & geopolitics. Additionally, he is a Writer for Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corporation, an international intelligence publication which provides comprehensive geopolitical analysis. Having previously consulted in Ukraine, his area of focus is U.S.-Russia relations. He received his MBA from the Thunderbird School of Global Management with a focus on U.S.-China relations.

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