Foreign Policy Blogs

Regions

Israel and Iran on the path to escalation

Israel and Iran on the path to escalation

Iran has been ratcheting up the rhetoric while Haaretz warns of the consequences of Iran’s ambitions in Syria. It all started back in February, when an Iranian drone and an Israeli F-16 were shot down at the Syria-Israel border. More incidents and additional quarrels over the Iran Nuclear Deal could lead to ...

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Chinese economic interests and the threat to EU cohesion

Chinese economic interests and the threat to EU cohesion

Today, some of Europe’s poorest countries are critical to China’s global economic development strategy. Under the 16+1 sub-regional framework, which includes eleven countries from central and eastern Europe and five from the Balkans (CEEC), China is pursuing investment opportunities in infrastructure in order to enhance its connectivity with the ...

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Foreign aid and strategic competition in the South Pacific

Foreign aid and strategic competition in the South Pacific

On February 26, a 7.5 magnitude earthquake struck 35 kilometers underneath the Southern Highlands in Papua New Guinea, causing at least fifty deaths. An Australian Air Force plane carrying relief supplies landed five days later amid criticism that aid had been too slow to arrive. The effectiveness of the Australian response in PNG ...

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Voting Against the Law of Corruption

Voting Against the Law of Corruption

While difficult to measure a few months before elections are to take place, major national and regional changes are coming to the Americas, with votes likely determining the future economic and security focus of the region. When considering NAFTA, it could be that the waves created by Trumps bargaining approach may ...

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Xi Jinping: China’s Emperor for life?

Xi Jinping: China’s Emperor for life?

The annual full session of the National People’s Congress, which began on 5 March, sees President Xi Jinping on the way to becoming China’s “Emperor” for life. Following the party’s Central Committee proposal of eliminating the limits for the country’s president from the constitution – currently set at a maximum ...

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Theresa May’s evolving Brexit strategy

Theresa May’s evolving Brexit strategy

The transition agreement between the UK and EU means that although the UK will officially leave the EU in March 2019, it will still remain in the customs union and single market for another 21 months. The deal was struck after several concessions by the UK, indicating the government’s willingness ...

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Russia’s Elections: The View from Siberia

Russia’s Elections: The View from Siberia

Reports from Russian announced that Vladimir Putin won over 76% of the votes in his reelection bid March 18, with turnout over 67%. The view from Siberia was a little different. OSCE, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, sent nearly 600 short-term, long-term, and other election observers to Russia.  In ...

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Regional and Geopolitical Impact of Ethiopia Meltdown

Regional and Geopolitical Impact of Ethiopia Meltdown

The Horn of Africa is among the most congested, eventful, and most volatile geopolitical intersections on earth. It is where the West meets the East in a highly competitive game of strategic positioning for economic or hegemonic advantage. China and Turkey who, more or less, employ similar soft-power ...

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Trump – Kim Summit or Not: A Tack to Try?

Trump – Kim Summit or Not: A Tack to Try?

Whatever the impact of a new national security team, and whether or not President Trump actually meets with Kim Jong Un in the next few months, the fundamental problems with North Korea remain the same. Former U.S. negotiator Evans Revere notes that we have heard Kim’s line before. Still, ...

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How long will Egypt tolerate Sisi?

How long will Egypt tolerate Sisi?

Egypt’s President, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, is slated to win elections on March 28. His only contender, Moussa Mostafa Moussa, is someone who has not only called himself a “big supporter” of Sisi, but has also worked as member, until he announced candidacy in the last minutes of a final deadline, ...

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Georgia on No One’s Mind

Georgia on No One’s Mind

There’s a scene in the 2007 film Charlie Wilson’s War when the titular character, a congressman played by Tom Hanks, tries to make a case to his congressional peers. He wants to allocate one million dollars toward building a school in Afghanistan, as a way for the United States ...

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The ascent of the dragon continues – Implications for global politics

The ascent of the dragon continues – Implications for global politics

The National People’s Congress meeting that kicked off on March 5 has ushered in some revolutionary stances . From the constitutional amendment to the two-term limit that was proposed by the Communist party on February 25 , the prospect of the abolition of the term limits looms large on ...

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Blockchain goes East: opportunities in China

Blockchain goes East: opportunities in China

As cryptocurrencies dominate global headlines, China is consistently quashing the hype within its borders. But as Beijing ratchets up its pressure on bitcoin, this time targeting mining, Chinese investors are exploring the potential of the technology central to it all – blockchain. In 2017, cryptocurrencies took the world by storm, led by ...

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On Zuma, Ramaphosa, and the State of South African Politics

On Zuma, Ramaphosa, and the State of South African Politics

It has been an eventful few weeks in South African politics, as eventful as any since the period from the CODESA negotiations that ended apartheid through the early, heady days of Nelson Mandela’s epochal presidency. The era of Jacob Zuma has finally come to an end, the era of ...

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Warning signs of instability in Egypt

Warning signs of instability in Egypt

The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show significant increases in potential instability and unrest in Egypt. Joseph Colonna explains how conditions are ripe for another wave of protest, with presidential elections due on 26-28 March. It’s not uncommon to hear Egyptians saying that the revolution failed – that it ...

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