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Increased Great Power Competition Changes Strategy of “Swing” Powers

Increased Great Power Competition Changes Strategy of “Swing” Powers

U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China hostilities have led to foreign policy strategy recalibrations for the Philippines, Japan, and Turkey.

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The U.S. Can Learn From Japan’s Efforts To Improve Russian Relations

The U.S. Can Learn From Japan’s Efforts To Improve Russian Relations

Russo-Japanese patience and recognition of shared mutual security interests can serve as a model for current U.S.-Russian hostilities.

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The Snowball Effect of Continued U.S.-Russia Strategic Mistrust

The Snowball Effect of Continued U.S.-Russia Strategic Mistrust

The unthinkable has happened as rising U.S.-Russia tensions in Syria have started to undermine global security through a key nuclear deal cancellation.

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“Preserving” Primacy is Both Delusional and Self-destructive

“Preserving” Primacy is Both Delusional and Self-destructive

Global economic interdependency and states' pursuit of self-interest in today's multi-polar world combine to undermine U.S. efforts at primacy.

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The Philippines’ Improved Russian and Chinese Ties Increase Leverage with U.S.

The Philippines’ Improved Russian and Chinese Ties Increase Leverage with U.S.

By seeking to improve ties with both China and Russia, the Philippines aims to enhance its bargaining position with the U.S.

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Reckless Pursuit of Hegemony Inevitably Leads to Downfall

Reckless Pursuit of Hegemony Inevitably Leads to Downfall

Japan's Sengoku Jidai period demonstrates the necessity of restraint in U.S. foreign policy.

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Russian South China Sea Drills Complicate Japanese Security

Russian South China Sea Drills Complicate Japanese Security

Japan's desire to become a more "normal" power through South China Sea proclamations has just become more complicated thanks to Russia.

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Triumphalism in Wake of Court’s South China Sea Ruling is Futile

Triumphalism in Wake of Court’s South China Sea Ruling is Futile

The Permanent Court of Arbitration's verdict will have little weight in Beijing's strategic considerations in the South China Sea.

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U.S. Must Fix Its Economy to Effectively Counter China

U.S. Must Fix Its Economy to Effectively Counter China

To succeed in its global game against China, the U.S. must recognize the importance of economics in any nation's foreign policy stance.

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Chinese Implacable Defiance in the South China Sea

Chinese Implacable Defiance in the South China Sea

Tensions between China and the U.S. in the South China Sea dominated the issues at the now-concluded Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore.

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Ambiguity Plagues the Shangri-La Dialogue

Ambiguity Plagues the Shangri-La Dialogue

The South China Sea played a prominent role at the Shangri-La Dialogue. However, ambiguity on several issues might prolong these very same tensions.

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Japan Charts More Independent Course to Improve Russian Relations

Japan Charts More Independent Course to Improve Russian Relations

Japan realizes, irrespective of U.S. wishes, that it needs better relations with Russia in order to more effectively balance China within the region.

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U.S. Must Still Compete with Russia for Vietnam’s Affections

U.S. Must Still Compete with Russia for Vietnam’s Affections

The U.S. decision to lift its arms embargo against Vietnam must factor in Russian rivalry and regional economic considerations.

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Russian Resurgence Exacerbates NATO Schisms

Russian Resurgence Exacerbates NATO Schisms

Russian resurgence has planted seeds of conflict both within individual NATO members, as well as between different geographic areas of the alliance.

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About the Author

Robert Matthew Shines
Robert Matthew Shines

Robert Matthew Shines is a U.S. Foreign Policy Analyst & Project Manager with Bright Group Consulting, where he provides confidential geopolitical forecasting services regarding various aspects of U.S.-China foreign policy. Additionally, he is an Expert | Geopolitical Intelligence with RANE, an information and advisory services company that connects business leaders to critical risk insights and expertise. He is also an Analyst with the Foreign Policy Association where he writes blogs on foreign policy analysis. As a Senior Analyst and Editor with Global Risk Insights, he provides analysis on political risk & geopolitics. Lastly, he is a Writer for Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corporation, an international intelligence publication which provides comprehensive geopolitical analysis. Having previously consulted in Ukraine, his area of focus is U.S.-Russia relations. He received his MBA from the Thunderbird School of Global Management with a focus on U.S.-China relations.

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