Foreign Policy Blogs

Tajikistan struggles economically- Manas closing an opportunity?

According to the International Crisis Group, Tajikistan may be headed for economic collapse.
http://www.rferl.org/content/Tajikistan_On_The_Road_To_Failure_Think_Tank_Concludes/1492820.html

The country has been subsisting on remittance payments from migrant workers in Russia, but work is drying up quickly. Many are headed home. Some of the workers who have decided to stay are not making enough to send back, either from lack of work or having wages withheld. This New York Times article from February 10th details the hardships being experienced by Tajik migrant workers in Russia.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/10/world/europe/10migrants.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=tajikistan&st=cse

Police bribes and racially motivated killings are making a bad economic situation worse.
Tajikistan is dependent on natural gas from Uzbekistan, who has been blocking the construction of hydropower plants that could provide enough electricity to meet domestic demand. The plants could also limit the amount of water that goes downstream to Uzbekistan. Tajikistan is clearly desperate, as they have agreed to allow non-military NATO supplies bound for Afghanistan, as the following Radio Free Europe article explains.
http://www.rferl.org/Content/Tajikistan_Offers_To_Transit_NATO_Supplies_To_Afghanistan/1380459.html

Unfortunately, I doubt payments for that will be enough to keep Tajikistan from serious economic duress.

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