The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) has released ten case studies on “Assessing Risks to Stability in Sub-Saharan Africa.” The reports cover Angola, Botswana, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal, Sudan and Uganda. The papers, commissioned by the U.S. Africa Command, use a common framework, identifying conditions, catalysts, and triggers, to examine the stability and potential threats to each country.
[It may not be clear from the font and color of the block quotation, but if you click on each country or on the title of the reports there is a link hidden that will take you to the report.]
These are, needless to say, important contributions, though I would imagine that AFRICOM’s role in all of this will appear suspicious to some. Nonetheless these provide a significant resource even if we can quibble about some of the inclusions and omissions — Botswana but not the DRC? Ghana but not Cote d’Ivoire? Of course more reports may be forthcoming and the inclusion of some of these countries might indicate the US actually taking a longer-term view beyond following crises, which would be welcome.