Foreign Policy Blogs

Horn of Africa

Somalia and the Slippery Slope of ‘Jubbaland’

Somalia and the Slippery Slope of ‘Jubbaland’

 

If the latest development in Somalia gives you the feeling of being trapped in the Twilight Zone — somewhere between relative security and renewed bloodshed — you are not alone. Due to the array of competing internal and external interest groups and the federal government’s lack …

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Somalia Conference and Rivalry of Civilizations

Somalia Conference and Rivalry of Civilizations

A few days before the “Somalia Conference 2013” held in London on May 7, a foreign journalist friend of mine sent me an e-mail asking what my thoughts were regarding the upcoming conference hosted by Prime Minister David Cameron. I replied: “My heart’s belief …

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Somalia, Side-effect of an Overpriced ‘Panacea’

Somalia, Side-effect of an Overpriced ‘Panacea’


With its meager financial and human resources, the Federal Republic of Somalia (FRS) has been doing better than a satisfactory job. However, in recent months, it has been profoundly frustrated by various challenges. Chief among them is what I would refer to as the first side-effect …

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Connecting Dots in the Triangle of Threat

Connecting Dots in the Triangle of Threat


 
Just as the temperature of the “security threat” slowly declines in Somalia, it rises in other parts of East Africa. Elements of mainly political, religious, and clan/ethnic nature continue to shift and create new volatile conditions. Though not entirely interdependent, these conditions could create a ripple …

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The Corroding “Lead Camel” Effect

The Corroding “Lead Camel” Effect


 
As in old caravans “Where the lead camel goes, so shall others.” Such goes the Somali proverb, notwithstanding its regional variations and dialectical flavors. The Lead Camel Effect (LCE) describes a syndrome or a common human tendency to blindly follow leaders, role-models, and all those whom authority is …

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Ethiopia: New Prime Minister Creates Opportunity for Reform

Ethiopia: New Prime Minister Creates Opportunity for Reform

Hailemariam Desalegn was sworn in as Ethiopia’s new prime minister last week. He has some big shoes to fill.

A cult of personality surrounds his predecessor, Meles Zenawi, who died last month..
Zenawi was a regional leader, fighting terrorism in Somalia and mediating the Sudan-South Sudan conflict. At …

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Can Somalia’s Political Discontent Inspire Transformation?

Can Somalia’s Political Discontent Inspire Transformation?

 

 
Exhausted by prolonged anarchy, chronic dependency, cancerous corruption, and humiliating subjugation, the Somali people demanded change. Not just change of guards or principled actors, but a total overhaul of the political order of the day.
On September 10, 2012, the newly appointed parliament has heeded the call …

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A Constitution of Ambiguity and Deferment

A Constitution of Ambiguity and Deferment

If constitutions are supposed to make boundaries of the government’s legitimate authority over its citizens and state or regional administrations clear, Somalia’s new constitution oddly falls short. While there are some bright provisions in the new constitution, much of it can be aptly described as uncertain assurances and a “not …

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Post-Transitional Political Fault Lines

Post-Transitional Political Fault Lines


Internally—where it matters the most—the overall status of a government is judged by how the average citizen perceives it. From that perspective, and due to a number of factors, in Somalia not much has changed in the past three decades since the military government went astray.
Still, the average …

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Sustainable Peace: Why Somaliland Matters

Sustainable Peace: Why Somaliland Matters

 
Like in wars between states and other organized groups, civil wars and other protracted domestic conflicts are seldom caused by a single factor. Over time, even those that prove to be the exception to the rule eventually evolve into a much more complex conflict- hence the entity known as Somaliland.
A …

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Somalia, Sovereignty in Catch-22

Somalia, Sovereignty in Catch-22

For more than two decades, Somalia’s sovereignty has been in limbo- or in an utterly defunct status. Though there are many causes, a particular one stands out exponentially: volatile security. For no nation can claim, or (like in Somalia’s case) reclaim its sovereignty while dependent on …

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It is Crucial to “De-Nairobify” Somali Affairs

It is Crucial to “De-Nairobify” Somali Affairs


For a number of years, Nairobi (Kenya) has been the de facto capital of Somalia after the State has disintegrated into anarchy. It has been where Somalis sought refuge, re-started their lives, and networked with the rest of the world. By the same token, it …

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The Enigma of the London Conference on Somalia

The Enigma of the London Conference on Somalia

If there is any consensus on the nature and the outcome of the London Conference on Somalia – that brought together representatives of over 50 nations that included a number of Muslim nations – it must be the fact that it was a puzzling event that raised much speculation.
Now that …

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The London Conference on Somalia

The London Conference on Somalia

 

[Map of Somalia -- EthanZuckermann.com]
Leaders from across the globe are gathering today with various leaders in Somalian civic society at the London Conference on Somalia. The goal of the conference is to develop a new international approach to Somalia that nonetheless keeps Somalians in the center …

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Africa Roundup

Africa Roundup

Here are a few stories that have caught my eye of late, with brief commentary as apt:
In an interesting (but probably passing) change of direction, China is putting pressure on Sudan “to seek urgently the release of 29 Chinese workers held by rebels in the border state of …

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