As many analysts had predicted: it's 'sego’ vs. 'sarko’ in the run-off election for the French Presidency on May 6. The race is now on to win the 18% of the electorate that gave their vote to centrist candidate François Bayrou. Given that Bayrou advocated a moderate take on immigration control, largely favoring the EU line agreed in the Hague Programme, Socialist candidate Ségolene Royal looks to win over his voters on the immigration issue. In any event, as campaigning resumes, this issue will emerge as one of the ‘make or break’ questions, as both have starkly opposing opinions. We will continue to monitor the progress of the debate in shorter updates throughout the next few weeks.