Foreign Policy Blogs

Brinksmanship in Kenya and Nigeria

Kenya (more famously) and Nigeria have both been dealing with fraught internal negotiations regarding the inner workings of government. The stalemate over the composition of the cabinet (and thus the dynamics of power) continues in Kenya. Outside observers, including the British, have advised that Mwai Kibaki's side be willing to give up some seats in order to bring about peace. Not surprisingly, Kibaki's people don't seem enamored of the idea. For peace to prevail, someone is going to have to yield. Kibaki feels he ought not to be the one because he is the President. Odinga's side argues, not without merit, that Kibaki's victory was illegitimate and that Kibaki ought to relent. Whether and how this stalemate is resolved will go a long way in determining Kenya's future.

Meanwhile in Nigeria a similiarly contentious divide seems to have been closed. President Umaru Musa Yar-Adua and his opponents have come to an agreement over the budget crisis that has been hovering over the country. Nigeria's status as a stable state continues to be tenuous. Suffice it to say that if that situation goes awry it has the potential to make the troubles in Kenya and Zimbabwe pale by comparison.

 

Author

Derek Catsam

Derek Catsam is a Professor of history and Kathlyn Cosper Dunagan Professor in the Humanities at the University of Texas of the Permian Basin. He is also Senior Research Associate at Rhodes University. Derek writes about race and politics in the United States and Africa, sports, and terrorism. He is currently working on books on bus boycotts in the United States and South Africa in the 1940s and 1950s and on the 1981 South African Springbok rugby team's tour to the US. He is the author of three books, dozens of scholarly articles and reviews, and has published widely on current affairs in African, American, and European publications. He has lived, worked, and travelled extensively throughout southern Africa. He writes about politics, sports, travel, pop culture, and just about anything else that comes to mind.

Areas of Focus:
Africa; Zimbabwe; South Africa; Apartheid

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