I now have a pdf of my pre-election Zimbabwe Op-ed in the March 25 edition of the Cape Argus in which I argued that it was inevitable that Robert Mugabe would win the election. I was right on much, wrong on some. (Mugabe has not been able to control things as easily as I thought, and I gave too much play to Simba Makoni and not enough to Morgan Tsvangirai, though to be fair the point of the article was to compare today's events with those in the past, in which case Makoni made sense for the analogy. Furthermore, Makoni's candidacy opened the door for people to realize that Mugabe might be vulnerable.)
In any case, for what it's worth, take a look.
