Foreign Policy Blogs

Violence, Change, and the Runoff

Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni has declared that because of the fragile and violent conditions in Zimbabwe the time is “not at all” right to hold the run-off elections. Erstwhile challenger Simba Makoni has similarly argued that because a free and fair election cannot be held, the runoff must be canceled. And yet that violence that helps fuel the fragility is intended precisely to destabilize the country. Not having free and fair elections is sort of the point.
Not holding the runoff, however precarious conditions may be, plays right into what Robert Mugabe wants. What possible motivation will Mugabe have ever to hold the run-off? Why would he not control violence so as to ensure that the time is never right? The argument becomes self-fulfilling.

No one wants to see the situation get worse in Zimbabwe. No one relishes what will almost certainly be an ugly week leading up to and following the runoff. But this is a process that must happen. Otherwise the message becomes clear: Violence stops change. The message needs to be that change can overcome violence.

 

Author

Derek Catsam

Derek Catsam is a Professor of history and Kathlyn Cosper Dunagan Professor in the Humanities at the University of Texas of the Permian Basin. He is also Senior Research Associate at Rhodes University. Derek writes about race and politics in the United States and Africa, sports, and terrorism. He is currently working on books on bus boycotts in the United States and South Africa in the 1940s and 1950s and on the 1981 South African Springbok rugby team's tour to the US. He is the author of three books, dozens of scholarly articles and reviews, and has published widely on current affairs in African, American, and European publications. He has lived, worked, and travelled extensively throughout southern Africa. He writes about politics, sports, travel, pop culture, and just about anything else that comes to mind.

Areas of Focus:
Africa; Zimbabwe; South Africa; Apartheid

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