Foreign Policy Blogs

A Work in Progress: Lebanon First

 In the beginning the motive was clear. The majority had to become a minority by killing, not by elections.

At that time the country had no president and the assassination trend was meant to stop the majority from electing a president by 65 votes out of 128, which is the 50 + 1 formula. However, not all killings followed this terrible logic.

The threat of being a target seems to be fading away because the minority has the blocking third. The majority is no more a decisive majority, except in minor issues. According to the constitution, which was outlined in the Taif Agreement, you need 2/3 of the Council of Ministers to amend the constitution, for the electoral law, to declare war, to sign a peace agreement, also for the laws of the sects, concerning marriage, inheritance and so on; since there is no unified law for all, if any needs to be amended, it has to be done with the 2/3. There are no more reasons for assassinations, but who can gamble on it? This is one mistake nobody would be alive to learn from; therefore we have to keep on being cautious. [MP Mohammad Kabbani – WSN]