Foreign Policy Blogs

Dangerous When Cornered

Time magazine argues in a recent piece on Mugabe that the intransigent president  “clings on, but his power is waning.” I have no quarrels with the article, which hits all of the necessary marks in a piece written for a genralist audience that has little background on Zimbabwe (or most any other particular African issue).  Megan Lindow, the author (with help from Simba Rushwaya in Harare), even acknowledges how easy it is for Zimbabwe to recede and get buried amidst not only the global economic crisis but the stories du jour from Africa (piracy in Somalia, chaos in the Congo).

But one point that the article misses is that in Zimbabwe (indeed much of the rest of Africa, or even the world) a despot like Mugabe is at his most dangerous when he is most vulnerable. Now is when Zimbabweans should fear the heavy footsteps of the security forces and the menacing approach of the so-called war veterans. Now is when they should expect pronouncements that barely cover in shadow implicit threats of violence and other retribution. In many ways, Mugabe barely clinging on to power is perhaps the most ominous state of all, at least in the short term.

 

Author

Derek Catsam

Derek Catsam is a Professor of history and Kathlyn Cosper Dunagan Professor in the Humanities at the University of Texas of the Permian Basin. He is also Senior Research Associate at Rhodes University. Derek writes about race and politics in the United States and Africa, sports, and terrorism. He is currently working on books on bus boycotts in the United States and South Africa in the 1940s and 1950s and on the 1981 South African Springbok rugby team's tour to the US. He is the author of three books, dozens of scholarly articles and reviews, and has published widely on current affairs in African, American, and European publications. He has lived, worked, and travelled extensively throughout southern Africa. He writes about politics, sports, travel, pop culture, and just about anything else that comes to mind.

Areas of Focus:
Africa; Zimbabwe; South Africa; Apartheid

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