Foreign Policy Blogs

South African Questions (And Answers)

With all of the verbiage flowing and the spin doctors in full effect in South African politics today, it is hard to separate what is true from what is self serving, what is accurate from what is accusation. To wit, consider the following questions (with answers that I humbly submit for your consideration):
Is South Africa facing a potential civil war? (This seems more like hyperbolic fear-mongering than it does a legitimate assessment of the facts on the gorund.)

Is it possible that for all of the division in South African politics the ANC is poised to garner more than 70% of the vote in next year's elections? (With all due respect to the pollsters, this seems like an impossibility. If the ANC has actually consolidated its strength in recent years, and especially in recent months, it would be the missed South African story of the decade.)

Is the Congress of the People (COPE) likely to emerge as a savior in South African politics? (No. And to burden any party with such expectations would be silly. For COPE to burden itself with such pronouncements seems suicidal.)

Is the ANC actually “doing COPE's publicity work” for them? (Sometimes it seems as much.)

 

Author

Derek Catsam

Derek Catsam is a Professor of history and Kathlyn Cosper Dunagan Professor in the Humanities at the University of Texas of the Permian Basin. He is also Senior Research Associate at Rhodes University. Derek writes about race and politics in the United States and Africa, sports, and terrorism. He is currently working on books on bus boycotts in the United States and South Africa in the 1940s and 1950s and on the 1981 South African Springbok rugby team's tour to the US. He is the author of three books, dozens of scholarly articles and reviews, and has published widely on current affairs in African, American, and European publications. He has lived, worked, and travelled extensively throughout southern Africa. He writes about politics, sports, travel, pop culture, and just about anything else that comes to mind.

Areas of Focus:
Africa; Zimbabwe; South Africa; Apartheid

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