Foreign Policy Blogs

Havana focused inward: economic woes

Despite the bit of hemispheric hubbub surrounding Cuba at the moment, Havana is dealing first with the immediate internal challenges facing the country—namely, financial problems and the slowdown of important sectors of its economy. Ariel Terrero, the country’s top economic commentator, announced on national television yesterday that depressed nickel prices and reduced tourism revenue could slash Cuba’s foreign income by $1 billion for 2009. For perspective, that’s a 25% cut: total exports from the island are valued at about $4 billion annually. Terrero told Cubans that the government was already reducing imports and limiting production in some industries in response to the cash crunch.

The Minister of the Economy has also officially signed a new austerity program to begin in June, intended to cut state expenditures. His plan involves shutting off air conditioners at work, imposing large-scale “vacations” for government workers (with no indication of whether they will be paid during time off or not), and beginning the dreaded blackouts that he warned might return. Fortunately, the blackouts will be on Saturday mornings this time; not during “regular cooking hours,” as they were during the “Special Period” of severe economic measures that followed the Soviet Union’s collapse.

The new measures are likely to increase citizen discontent on the island, especially as these measures set in when temperatures during the summer months rise to 90 degrees Fahrenheit and above, and humidity begins to hover around the typical 88 percent.

 

Author

Melissa Lockhart Fortner

Melissa Lockhart Fortner is Senior External Affairs Officer at the Pacific Council on International Policy in Los Angeles, having served previously as Senior Programs Officer for the Council. From 2007-2009, she held a research position at the University of Southern California (USC) School of International Relations, where she closely followed economic and political developments in Mexico and in Cuba, and analyzed broader Latin American trends. Her research considered the rise and relative successes of Latin American multinationals (multilatinas); economic, social and political changes in Central America since the civil wars in the region; and Wal-Mart’s role in Latin America, among other topics. Melissa is a graduate of Pomona College, and currently resides in Pasadena, California, with her husband, Jeff Fortner.

Follow her on Twitter @LockhartFortner.