Foreign Policy Blogs

China Update…

Source: AP

Source: AP

Update from our China post  yesterday — U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner appears to have had a nice meeting with Chinese leaders today.  Smoothing over any ruffled feathers of the recent past.  Stressing cooperation.  Setting it up nicely for a little Obama administration “good cop, bad cop” routine, starting with a meeting in late July, with Secretary of State Clinton playing the role of the baton-wielding heavy.

At the same time, the Chinese government today arrested a former protestor from the Tiananmen Square movement twenty years ago.  The Chinese government is nervous about the anniversary of the democracy protests coming up on Thursday.  Read a previous post on the contradiction of political monopoly and economic pluralism

A NYTimes article today suggests that Obama’s China strategy is “kinder and gentler” than Bush’s was, which I, and some other China observers, do not agree with.  In any case, it is early.  Read Elizabeth Economy on the subject in Foreign Affairs. 

Finally, worries about China’s banking system over the medium term are increasing due to strong, though slowing, credit growth, especially lending to unprofitable state-owned enterprises.  See an Economist article, as well as a Fitch report (email me at [email protected]), on the matter.

 

Author

Roger Scher

Roger Scher is a political analyst and economist with eighteen years of experience as a country risk specialist. He headed Latin American and Asian Sovereign Ratings at Fitch Ratings and Duff & Phelps, leading rating missions to Brazil, Russia, India, China, Mexico, Korea, Indonesia, Israel and Turkey, among other nations. He was a U.S. Foreign Service Officer based in Venezuela and a foreign exchange analyst at the Federal Reserve. He holds an M.A. in International Relations from Johns Hopkins University SAIS, an M.B.A. in International Finance from the Wharton School, and a B.A. in Political Science from Tufts University. He currently teaches International Relations at the Whitehead School of Diplomacy.

Areas of Focus:
International Political Economy; American Foreign Policy

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