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iron-oreAustralian Foreign Minister Steven Smith stated today that Stern Hu, General Manager of Rio Tinto China, was detained on espionage charges earlier this week. Hu’s firm, Rio Tinto, is a major Australian supplier of iron ore (a necessary ingredient for making steel). The company is currently negotiating annual contracts with China that dictate pricing terms of the commodity for the next year.

Rio Tinto was also the target of an investment bid by Chinalco, China’s state owned aluminum firm, as it seeks to acquire access to strategically important commodities. The deal fell apart last month due to backlash over the terms and fears in Australia that China would be taking a substantial stake in a strategic commodities firm.

More details will likely emerge over time, but the Australian Press hints that the arrest may be in connection with the unsuccessful investment bid. Such speculation is premature as no facts have been released. At the least, this case dampen dealmaking in strategic sectors as it will likely raise fear within the expat community in China that business executives may be personally responsible for “failed” dealings from China’s perspective. And at worse, China has unveiled a serious intimidation strategy as its firms expand globally.

 

Author

David Abraham

David S Abraham has expertise in the analysis of geopolitical and economic risk as well in energy issues. At the White House Office of Management and Budget, his work included overseeing natural resource and foreign assistance programs, and serving on the interagency trade policy committee. In his previous role as a sovereign risk analyst with Lehman Brothers, subsequently, Barclays Capital, he advised the firm on geopolitical and economic risks in developing countries. He has also consulted for a variety of organizations including the United Nations Support Facility for Indonesian Recovery, RBS Sempra Commodities, ClearWater Initiative and a small German consultancy. David earned degrees from Boston College and The Fletcher School at Tufts University and proudly served as a Peace Corps Volunteer. His written work has appeared in a variety of publications, most recently in The New York Times, The Providence Journal, and CFR.org. He speaks Lithuanian and is a Term Member at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Area of Focus
Geopolitics; Economic Risk; Energy Issues

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