Foreign Policy Blogs

Goodbye, Yar'Adua. Goodluck, Jonathan!

One of the more bizarre chapters in recent Nigerian history has come to a close with the passing of President Umaru Yar’Adua. Discerning Yar’Adua’s status had in recent months become the Africanist equivalent of Moscow-watchers trying to glean from the most modest clues the health of Soviet Premieres in the first half of the 1980s. But now that Goodluck Jonathan has been sworn in as Nigeria’s President, removing the “interim” from his title, one suspects that the closing of one chapter will simply open another in Abuja, where politics can be fraught in the best of circumstances.

Umaru Musa YarAdua

Umaru Musa Yar'Adua

Jonathan seems to have been a capable, effective leader over the last few months, although his dissolution of the cabinet last month caused some brows to furrow. Was he simply trying to clean house of ineffective, corrupt, and dissolute leadership? Or was he trying to consolidate his own power in a country where such consolidations have been distressingly commonplace? But the question of whether or not Yar-Adua’s death will provide the pretext for political unrest or machinations remains to be seen. Nigeria has many real and imagined fault lines — ethnic, religious, geographical, socioeconomic, cultural — and how Jonathan moves forward might be crucial to Nigeria’s political stability.

Goodluck Jonathan

Goodluck Jonathan

 

Author

Derek Catsam

Derek Catsam is a Professor of history and Kathlyn Cosper Dunagan Professor in the Humanities at the University of Texas of the Permian Basin. He is also Senior Research Associate at Rhodes University. Derek writes about race and politics in the United States and Africa, sports, and terrorism. He is currently working on books on bus boycotts in the United States and South Africa in the 1940s and 1950s and on the 1981 South African Springbok rugby team's tour to the US. He is the author of three books, dozens of scholarly articles and reviews, and has published widely on current affairs in African, American, and European publications. He has lived, worked, and travelled extensively throughout southern Africa. He writes about politics, sports, travel, pop culture, and just about anything else that comes to mind.

Areas of Focus:
Africa; Zimbabwe; South Africa; Apartheid

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