Foreign Policy Blogs

The Euro Decline Becomes Radioactive

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Some of the world’s largest money managers and central banks have become increasingly skeptical of the Euro, presenting a threat to the common currency’s future prospects.

So far during the euro’s months-long descent, attention has been focused on hedge-fund selling of European assets but central banks and large managers have a much-larger influence on foreign-exchange markets. Even if they don’t dump Euro assets, a mere pause in their buying could weigh heavily on the currency.  The Euro last Wednesday rose to $1.2385(USD), bouncing from $1.2143(USD), its lowest level against the Greenback in four years hit during the day, from $1.2210.

So concerned are U.S. investors that Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is heading to Europe later this week to confer with finance ministers in Britain and Germany about ways to restore global confidence in the financial system on a trip. The Treasury Department announced the trip Thursday after a rough day on global financial markets. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 376 points, its biggest point drop since February 2009.

Investors are concerned that the debt problems in Greece and Portugal will spill over to other countries in Europe and threaten to derail the economic recovery in the United States and elsewhere.  Read more from the Baseline Scenario here, and from HuffPo here.

 

Sources:     WSJ, Bloomberg, HuffPo, FT, et al.

 

Author

Elison Elliott

Elison Elliott , a native of Belize, is a professional investment advisor for the Global Wealth and Invesment Management division of a major worldwide financial services firm. His experience in the global financial markets span over 18 years in both the public and private sectors. Elison is a graduate, cum laude, of the City College of New York (CUNY), and completed his Masters-level course requirements in the International Finance & Banking (IFB) program at Columbia University (SIPA). Elison lives in the northern suburbs of New York City. He is an avid student of sovereign risk, global economics and market trends, and enjoys writing, aviation, outdoor adventure, International travel, cultural exploration and world affairs.

Areas of Focus:
Market Trends; International Finance; Global Trade; Economics

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