Foreign Policy Blogs

Sudan: The Challanges Ahead

Abeje Chumo

I wrote this piece about South Sudan after reading about the massacre of 200 civilians last week by the rebel group led by George Athor. More than 160 of the dead were civilians, such as children, the elderly, refugees and several priests. Such attacks on civilians are sign of the challenges the South faces in bringing its people together. It appears to me that more of such type of crisis will happen now and then. The factors encouraging such conflicts come from different directions and the causes and the scope of these conflicts are many and complex. The question is: is South Sudan ready for another civil strife, is the new government ready to accommodate different groups, are there ways to prevent such disasters and in what ways the international community will support the new state. In this brief piece, I will assess the challenges ahead and point out ways in managing the expectation following freedom.

Soon Sudan will cease to be Africa’s largest country. The country is due to split in July 2011. The people in the South voted in a January 2011 referendum to separate and form the continent’s newest state. This new development will bring in immense opportunities and challenges both for the
North and South as well as the entire Horn of Africa region.  

The establishment of the New State of South Sudan will officially conclude the years of animosity that has existed between the North and the South and will commence an era of renewed cooperation. Hence, it is the common responsibility of the North and South Sudan leadership to preserve the natural, historical, cultural, political, and environmental integrity of the people on both sides. They have to acknowledge the interdependence relationship in order to engender and maintain a lasting political and socio-economic relationship among and between each group to the extent that they preserve the common heritage and recognize the exigency of resolving long-standing political differences.

For the new state of South Sudan, everything needs hard work and determination to prove that the government upholds freedom, liberty and equality of all Southerners. In realizing the creation of the new state of South Sudan, governments must be willing to negotiate terms of any potential difference and disagreements within its constituency. For long, many southerners were sidelined from government jobs, scholarships, military ranks and many more rights in their own country. Marginalization and oppression were the orders of the day for many. Soon enough, there is a hope that will be part of their history.

The challenges in South Sudan are large and exceedingly difficult. If peace is to become real in South Sudan, it is indispensable to work to rebuild the relationship with different clan based groups in the country. The central challenge to this exercise does not lie in the repair of the physical and institutional devastation, nor in the repatriation and reintegration of thousands of Southern IDPs and refugees. The primary challenge in rebuilding a society that has been organized in a clan based power structure has to do with mending relations and restoring trust.  If people do not trust each other, and lack confidence in any political arrangement put in place and in the conflict prevention mechanisms process in general, then the best rebuilding strategies are likely to fail.

Establishing a system of government that is based on the interest of South Sudanese and making sure that South Sudan will have peace and harmony requires a two-track process. The new government of South Sudan has the responsibility to ensure that all South Sudanese has the right to participate and benefit from opportunities, development, democracy and integrity of the new nation. Independence means freedom – physical, psychological, mental, emotional and spiritual to all. It is very important to insure the exercise of fundamental rights in one’s own country without interference. It should be noted that unavailability of trained national staff to participate and hold offices, cost implication to hire experienced development experts and limited resource and capacity to involve the public will hamper efforts to advance in the South Sudan.

Second, the international community in South Sudan will play an active role rebuilding South Sudan. Decades of fighting have left South Sudan’s infrastructure in tatters. The recent focus on the rule of law and justice sector reform in new and emerging nations demonstrates that the international community has become increasingly aware that functioning legal systems and judicial structures are an essential pre-requisite for lasting peace and security. With the return of millions of displaced southerners, there is a pressing need to maintain law and order. If the local police, the army and justice system are weak or if they take the side of one group over the other or organized themselves in tribal bases, it may be necessary to step up the reform efforts and the international community has to undertake a comprehensive disarmament, retraining, reorganization and re-assigning, or otherwise monitoring their personnel to ensure they do not become “spoilers” to the transition to independence.

Lack of peace and security in Darfur and Abyei regions as well as the presence of Lord Resistance Army (LRA), Ethiopian and Eritrean resistance groups in its jurisdiction are few of the major challenges that will defiantly affect relation between South Sudan with its neighbors. The interdependent nature of international relations hints that if violent conflicts are not contained on time, it can constitute grave risks to people in the region. In realizing the creation of a peaceful South Sudan and accept the common responsibilities, the government must be willing to negotiate terms of any potential difference and disagreements. The interest of each of the parties in conflict must be represented and specifically with regards to the negotiation, implementation, and settlement of disputes arising from the integration process.

The deployment of development workers from all over the world with varied language, culture, legal and political system further undermines the standard, and quality and sustainability of development work in South Sudan. So far response by humanitarian agencies focuses on the referendum and the humanitarian aspect of the return of millions of displaced southerners. Many of the international agencies have been reluctant to rise or become involved in sensitive issues for fear that this will compromise their neutrality or provoke restrictions on their access, or there are also issues of inexperience and high turnover of staff and lack of expertise in this field.

In order to realize and address the challenges ahead, the government of South Sudan needs to design and adopt a national instrument that addresses the needs and interests of various groups. Stakeholders must fully participate and indicate there interest in the drafting and adopting of such document – that govern the relationship among themselves. The document can serve in shaping the relations, actions, and limitations of actors in the state. The government must express intent to be bound by the obligations and responsibilities of such provisions. The document shall be complementary to other pertinent national legal instruments, agreements and treaties, and shall not contravene any other international instruments that the country will be committed to.

The international community can adopt comprehensive approach to include all the interdependent institutions, sensitive to the needs of key groups and mindful of the need for complementarily between the domestic and international mechanisms. Disputes shall be referred to the proper national and international judicial body, unless the parties concerned agree on another mode of settlement within a reasonable period of time. However, priority should be given to strengthening the capacity of the police, the army, and the legal systems to maintain law and order. This requires fair legal framework that is enforced impartially. Impartial enforcement of laws requires an independent judiciary and an impartial and incorruptible police force. Hence strengthening local police, courts, and prison system to maintain public order, control crime, prosecute tribal criminals, protect minorities, and ensure respect for human rights plays a central role in maintaining the rule of law in post-conflict society.

It should be clear that good governance is an ideal which is difficult to achieve in its totality. Very few countries and societies have come close to achieving good governance in its totality. A society’s wellbeing depends on ensuring that all its members feel that they have a stake in it and do not feel excluded from the mainstream of society. This requires all groups, but particularly the most vulnerable in South Sudan, have opportunities to improve or maintain their well being from the upcoming arraignment. In making peace to happen in South Sudan, the Juba leadership can and must be ready to sacrifice its interest to the benefit of all the different groups.

 

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Author

Abeje T. Chumo

Abeje T. Chumo is an expert on International Law and Use of Military Force in International Relations. He has special interest and skills linking human security with freedom, peace and social justice issues in East Africa. He continuously promotes alternative dispute resolution forums as a way forward to prevent, manage and resolve conflicts. He lives in Silver Spring, Maryland.