Greg Thielmann in a recent blogpost makes a trenchant observation regarding the latest IAEA report on Iran: That, despite the generally tough tone of the report, the amount of 20-percent enriched uranium at Iran’s disposal has actually decreased rather than, as generally expected, increasing. Thielmann notes that former IAEA safeguards department chief Olli Heinonen had predicted Iran would have about 250 kilograms of 20-percent enriched uranium by the end of this year, which would put it within about a month of being able to make enough weapons-grade uranium for a single bomb. Instead, according to the IAEA, Iran has 91.4 kg of 20-percent enriched uranium, down from 101 kg in May.
