Foreign Policy Blogs

Tag Archives: deterrence

The Donald J. Trump Foreign Policy Enigma

The Donald J. Trump Foreign Policy Enigma

Trump is a foreign policy enigma. Regardless of how much he talked about it during his campaign, it is difficult to know what to expect from him.

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A Divided NATO: From Agenda To Budget

A Divided NATO: From Agenda To Budget

Deterring adversaries and assure peace in the transatlantic region will require more pronounce commitment from all of NATO members.

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Can China be Deterred in Cyber Space?

Can China be Deterred in Cyber Space?

Whether the threat of sanctions and loss of face will deter actual behavior of the complex organization we summarize as “China” remains to be seen.

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Obama’s Strategy, ISIS’s Coercive Diplomacy, and Escalation Dominance

Obama’s Strategy, ISIS’s Coercive Diplomacy, and Escalation Dominance

Deterrence theory may help explain ISIS’s change of strategy and also how to address it.

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Beyond Air and Missile Defense: Modernization of the Polish Armed Forces

Beyond Air and Missile Defense: Modernization of the Polish Armed Forces

Executive Summary
Poland has developed an ambitious plan to modernize its armed forces over the next decade. The air and missile defense initiative has certainly become a flagship project of the effort, but the modernization agenda is much broader and should be put into a clear strategic, military, economic, as well as industrial perspective. The modernization process will also not be taking place in a strategic vacuum, and will therefore lead to the creation of a new Polish strategic narrative both in NATO and the EU.

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Syria, Intelligence, and the Reasons for War

Syria, Intelligence, and the Reasons for War

Discussions of possible intervention in Syria, like the run-up to the Iraq War, have focused on the nature of the available intelligence. The intelligence task in Syria is fundamentally different from the one in Iraq—and actually much easier—and getting the facts right is certainly worth the effort. Still, the emphasis on intelligence is unusual in […]

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The Four Horsemen Ride Again…

And they’re taking on the role of nuclear weapons in deterrence.  In their fourth collaboration, former secretaries of State Henry Kissinger and George Shultz, one-time Defense Secretary William Perry and former Senator Sam Nunn (D-Ga) wrote in an OpEd in the Wall Street Journal today that the role of nuclear weapons in deterrence should finally, […]

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U.S. Revises Nuclear Strategy

In a dramatic departure from the strategic ambiguity that marked past nuclear doctrine, the Obama Administration has announced a new update of U.S. nuclear strategy. In this revision, the U.S. actually publicizes the kinds of attacks that would warrant an American nuclear response and those that would trigger only a conventional military counterattack. As this […]

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Arms Control Treaty Faces Senate Battle

Arms Control Treaty Faces Senate Battle

I’d like to follow up on my recent post regarding the new arms control treaty announced last week. As you know, the treaty will have to be approved by the U.S. Senate and given the current environment in Washington, that may prove difficult. This report in The Washington Post notes that the Senate could begin […]

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Leading the Way on Nuclear Disarmament

In the continuing effort to reset relations with Russia, the Obama Administration is near agreement on a major  arms control treaty to reduce long-range nuclear weapons. As this report from The Washington Post notes, the treaty is a follow-up to the expired 1991 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) and will decrease nuclear armaments but not […]

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