Four factors make further tensions between Russia and Ukraine along the shores of the Crimean peninsula and Azov Sea probable. On 25 November 2018, at the Kerch Strait, Russia attacked as well as captured three Ukrainian navy vessels, and arrested their 24 sailors. The maritime clash indicates that the focal point of the […]
Western comments on Russian domestic and foreign affairs have, during the last years, become more and more gloomy. Among other topics, this pessimistic discourse (to which I too have contributed) features Putin’s neo-imperial plans for the post-Soviet area, the many varieties of post-Soviet Russian ultra-nationalism, the fragility of the geopolitical grey zone between the Kremlin-dominated […]
Trump is setting up a “war room” to counter the Russia probe. With talk about Russian government tactics for meddling in Western democratic processes, what would the Kremlin do in such a war room?
Future policies that deeply antagonize communities need to be prevented at all costs. Otherwise, it is unlikely that attacks, such as the one in St. Petersburg, will end.
Economic dependence and shared cultures and borders make it nearly impossible for the former Soviet republics to break ties with the Kremlin without shooting themselves in the foot.
Egypt’s strongman President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi could emerge as one of the potential winners of Trump’s foreign policy strategy in the Middle East.
Russia’s new status as a pivotal nation in the Middle East’s security environment is pushing Israel and Egypt to rekindle their relations.
The fighting outbreak in Nagorno-Karabakh was the largest since the 1994 Bishkek Protocol ceasefire. However, the situation has now “normalized.”
The recent fighting outbreak in Nagorno-Karabakh, the worst in a twenty years period, reveals a sweeping complexity of the longstanding geopolitical chessboard that is the South Caucasus.
A Donald Trump presidency could certainly bring some positive dynamics to U.S.-Russia relations but will not be a game-changer.
Ukraine – Orange Revolution Myanmar – Saffron Revolution Georgia – Rose Revolution Lebanon – Cedar Revolution (OK – Cedar isn’t really a color, but it’s quite descriptive) Moldova? All these nations had popular revolts between 2004 and 2007. The Bush Administration moved quick to give them cute and happy names to express support for them. […]